Monday, April 27, 2020

Predicted death counts (2nd update)

I previously updated a previous post on April 16 in which I recorded projections from the MIT-Sloan model that on May 1, the number of deaths in 3 southern states would be as follows: Georgia (913), Florida (1271), Louisiana (2281). On April 22, the numbers were Georgia (986/+73), Florida (1336/+65), Louisiana (1811/-470). Today, the MIT-Sloan projections are Georgia (1066/+80), Florida (1312/+41), Louisiana (1816/+5). Total change from April 16 projections are Georgia (+153), Florida (+41), Louisiana (-465).

The current (April 23 was 62,821) prediction for total US deaths by May 1 is 63,156 (335).

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